SORRY, NO SHORTCUTS: EVALUATING SPRING TRAINING PITCHING BY EYE AND EAR

Getting academically unacademic about statistical nightmares, and fearing the prospect of using your eyes and ears again to know stuff.

Joe Baseball

Every Spring Training I’m reminded that pre-season statistics don’t correlate with regular season performance. Spring Training is a time for the young to fight for a place and the starters to shake off the rust and gradually work their way up into top form. This is especially true for pitchers.

Spring Training pitching often tests the fan’s resolve to ignore statistics. If a pitcher is showing well in ST it’s easy to spit out some stats to highlight how well they’re doing. For example, Mariners up-and-comer, Marco Gonzales has been showing well, posting only 5 hits with 0 home runs in 9 innings pitched. I love telling people that because I believe that this is Marco’s breakout year and I want to use data to strengthen my case that he’s going to be great in the regular season. By and large, this is a mistake. Well, partially.

marco-gonzales-mariners-620-620x370 Marco Gonzales is…

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